What the data shows

- About right on average: Jev's guesses are 8 points warier than the real answers on average, but that's within the margin of chance (90% interval: 4 points less wary to 22 points warier).
- Right order, moderately: 0.69. It knows Americans are more worried about AI and relationships than about AI forecasting the weather.
- It misses the refusers: 27% of Americans wouldn't let AI help with day-to-day tasks at all; Jev expects 0%.
- It underrates worry about problem-solving: 38% of Americans think AI will make people worse at solving problems; Jev expects 17%.
- It overrates worry about relationships and art: Jev expects 93% of people to say AI will make them worse at forming relationships (real: 50%) and 92% to like a painting less once they learn AI made it (real: 49%).
What it means, and what it doesn't
Jev's picture of the public is roughly right in size but off in shape: it expects people to be more worried about AI and human connection or creativity than they are, and less worried about AI and practical thinking. It also misses the minority who want nothing to do with AI.
Its own answers, meanwhile, are less wary than the public's (see "An AI's feelings about AI, next to Americans'"): Jev knows people are more worried than it is, and even exaggerates that worry in places.